The On-Again, Off-Again Trade War

Who knows what will happen in 90 days? The Soviet Union was governed by Five-Year Plans; now, we are governed by 90-Day Pauses.

Never mind.

President Trump’s 145 percent tariffs on China ran smack into Stein’s law, the late economist Herb Stein’s famous axiom that, “If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.”

What was effectively an instant embargo on the biggest importer into the United States wasn’t sustainable, and sure enough, it’s not going to be sustained.

Financial Media's Tariff Incontinence: A Retrospective

Remember just one month ago when the media was acting like tariffs were a guarantee of 100 years of famine, plague and pestilence? Well tomorrow the stock market is going to be well on its way toward all-time highs, again.

Tom Lee will look like a genius and bears will look like morons. You know the drill. Stop me if you’ve heard this one before.

My readers will remember that just about a month ago, after “Liberation Day,” I made the case that the mainstream financial media’s panic and histrionics over President Trump’s tariffs were equal parts embarrassing and pointless.

Inside the U.S.-China Trade Cease-Fire

A 90-day pause

Stocks, the dollar and oil are soaring on Monday after President Trump’s top negotiators outlined the specifics of a major — though temporary — de-escalation in the U.S.-China trade fight.

Expectations were sky-high for some kind of breakthrough. The market reaction suggests mission accomplished in terms of reaching an important détente, though significant trade barriers remain and plenty still needs to be worked out.

Global markets rally after U.S. and China cool trade tensions

Global stocks surged Monday after the U.S. and China agreed to de-escalate tariffs that had effectively frozen trade between the world’s largest economies.

Dow Futures on Wall Street soared after the White House said both sides had agreed to drastically reduce tariffs for 90 days. 

S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures jumped over 3% and 4%, respectively, ahead of the opening bell.

US Trade Representative Greer says US and China to roll back most tariffs

U.S. and Chinese officials said Monday they had reached a deal to roll back most of their recent tariffs and call a 90-day pause to keep talking to resolve their trade disputes.

Stock markets rose sharply as the globe’s two major economic powers took a step back from a clash that has unsettled the global economy.

U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the U.S. agreed to drop its 145% tariff rate on Chinese goods by 115 percentage points to 30%, while China agreed to lower its rate on U.S. goods by the same amount to 10%.